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ESPN Insider

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Author Topic: ESPN Insider  (Read 452 times)
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« on: October 03, 2013, 02:38:31 pm »

'Heat check' for Cameron Thursday?

After noticing that the Buffalo Bills have allowed an average of only five fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends so far this season, I wondered if it was time to consider Thursday's game as a possible "heat check" for Cleveland Browns breakout tight end Jordan Cameron. I was a bit more intrigued by that possibility when I saw that Football Outsiders Scott Kacsmar listed Cameron as a minus-1 play this week due to this matchup.

However, the further I looked, the less concerned I became about Cameron posting a dud stat line Thursday evening. That change in thinking started with Kacsmar's note on Cameron, which points out the typical negative impact of playing on Thursdays but allows for Cameron's likely upside anyway.

"Here's the second warning for Thursday night's often sloppy brand of football. Besides, can Brian Hoyer continue to play this well for Cleveland? Even if he doesn't, Cameron will probably still have a solid game, but his touchdown per reception rate (16.7 percent) is completely unsustainable," he wrote.

Looking further into exactly which tight ends the Bills have kept at bay thus far, we see the likes of Michael Hoomanawanui (1 catch for 5 yards), Jeff Cumberland (3-26), Dallas Clark (4-34) and Ed Dickson (2-12). Not exactly household fantasy football names these days. The lone quality tight end the Bills have faced is Greg Olsen, who reeled in seven passes for 84 yards and a touchdown.

This may not be an ideal matchup for Cameron, but it appears that he should be right in the mix as usual against the Bills tonight. In fact, with the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers up next for the Browns, we may not see if Cameron is truly "matchup proof" until the Browns square off against the Kansas City Chiefs D on the road in Week 8. They rank No. 1 against fantasy TEs thus far, allowing just 15 receptions for 100 yards and zero touchdowns.
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